Kazakhstan's demographic trend shows an increase in population: More individuals are entering the country than leaving, and the birth rate outpaces the death rate.
Kazakhstan's population reached an all-time high on July 1, 2025, with approximately 20,387,811 people, marking an increase of about 104,000 since the start of the year. This growth is attributed to both natural population growth and net positive migration [1].
Natural Population Growth
The first six months of 2025 saw a total of 161,200 births in Kazakhstan, while deaths numbered 64,600. This resulted in a natural population increase of 96,700 [1]. The regions with the highest birth rates were the Turkistan Region, followed by the Mangystau Region and Shymkent. Conversely, the North Kazakhstan, East Kazakhstan, and Karagandy Regions recorded the highest mortality rates, reflecting older population age structures [1].
Migration Trends
International migration saw a decrease, with 11,267 people arriving and 3,518 leaving Kazakhstan. Compared to the first half of 2024, arrivals decreased by 21%, and departures fell by 49.5%. Most migration flows were with CIS countries, accounting for 82.2% of arrivals and 73.9% of departures [1].
On the other hand, domestic migration increased significantly by 20.6%. Positive net migration was pronounced in major cities and regions, including Astana (+36,821 people), Almaty (+16,934 people), Shymkent (+10,838 people), and the Almaty region (+5,500 people) [1].
Urban vs. Rural Population Changes
While specific urban and rural population split data for the first half of 2025 is not detailed in the results, the positive net internal migration to large cities like Astana, Almaty, and Shymkent implies continued urban population growth, consistent with increasing domestic migration to these centers [1].
Other Demographic Indicators
During the six months, 51,400 marriages were registered in Kazakhstan, and 21,500 divorces were registered. A total of 64,600 deaths were recorded in Kazakhstan over the same period [1].
Summary
Kazakhstan experienced both natural population growth and net positive migration in the first half of 2025. The birth rate exceeded the death rate substantially, contributing to natural increase. Migration patterns show fewer international arrivals but significantly increased internal migration towards urban centers. This demographic dynamism aligns with Kazakhstan’s ongoing economic growth and urban development trends [4].
If you need more detailed urban/rural population figures or age-specific demographic changes for this period, I can help look for those or provide estimates based on typical trends.
[1] Official Statistics, Government of Kazakhstan [2] Population and Housing Census 2019, National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Kazakhstan [3] Migration Trends in Kazakhstan: A Comprehensive Analysis, Institute for Demography and Social Research [4] Economic Growth and Urban Development in Kazakhstan: A Review, World Bank Group
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